Probability classes
Nicholas Zharkikh
Shortened text of the section. Full text in ukrainian version.
, that the Muscovites are already preparing to stop the Kursk nuclear power plant… in the event that it will be liberated from the Muscovites by Ukrainian troops. "You are on the right path, comrades!" (August 11, 2024 at 12:16 p.m.).
Let’s see now how the objects of different probability classes distributed among the groups highlighted above (22-line table).
Therefore, 62 % of SRG objects are located with certainty. This roughly corresponds to the quality level of the "List of Švitrigaila’s towns" (64 %) [Zharkikh N. I. ""List of Švitrigaila’s towns: order and disorder. – Kyiv: 2024] and significantly more than in the Crimean jarlyks (29 %) [Zharkikh N. I. Geography of Crimean jarlyks of the 15th and 16th centuries. – Kyiv: 2024, section "Objects and their names»].
Groups in which the percentage of reliable localizations is higher than the average are highlighted in bold in the table. As you can see, sections of higher quality are constantly alternating with sections of lower quality. In my opinion, this indicates the use of some unknown primary documents of different quality in the SRG. The scribe of the SRG did not have the opportunity to check all this data and was forced to rewrite what was available.
An important general conclusion follows from this: it is impossible to talk about the validity / invalidity of the SRG as a whole, instead, it is worth looking at the validity of those groups of records that can be singled out as part of the SRG.
The total number of objects of different classes can be presented in the form of the following diagram:
Distribution of SRG objects by classes