Week 206 (Jan 29 – Feb 4, 2026)
Nicholas Zharkikh
One (or even two?) Russian planes destroyed
Russia’s losses in the war as of January 29, 2026:
personnel – about 1,237,400 (+830) people
tanks – 11,613 (+4) units.
armored combat vehicles – 23,965 (+7) units.
artillery systems – 36,733 (+20) units.
MLRS – 1,629 (+0) units.
Air defense assets – 1,288 (+2) units.
aircraft – 435 (+1) units
helicopters – 347 (+0) units.
Operational-tactical level UAVs – 118,679 (+955) units.
cruise missiles – 4,205 (+0) units.
ships/boats – 28 (+0) units.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
automotive equipment and tank trucks – 76,190 (+88) units.
special equipment – 4,053 (+0) units.
Operational information as of 08:00 on 01/28/2026 regarding the Russian invasion – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The enemy has minus Su-34 and Su-30: Russia lost two fighters with crews in one day.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces were successful in Pokrovsk and near Novopavlivka: report and maps of the ISW front.
The "one day" that some wanted to end the war never comes
Russia’s losses in the war as of January 30, 2026:
personnel – about 1,238,710 (+1,310) people
tanks – 11,614 (+1) units.
armored combat vehicles – 23,969 (+4) units.
artillery systems – 36,748 (+15) units.
MLRS – 1,631 (+2) units.
Air defense assets – 1,289 (+1) units.
aircraft – 435 (+0) units.
helicopters – 347 (+0) units.
Operational-tactical level UAVs – 119,234 (+555) units.
cruise missiles – 4,205 (+0) units.
ships / boats – 28 (+0) units.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
automotive equipment and tank trucks – 76,319 (+129) units.
special equipment – 4,054 (+1) units.
Operational information as of 8:00 AM on January 30, 2026 regarding the Russian invasion – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Russia rejected Western security guarantees for Ukraine: ISW explained what "signal" the Kremlin gave.
There were no direct agreements with Russia on energy — Zelensky.
Attempt at an "energy truce"
Russia’s losses in the war as of January 31, 2026:
personnel – about 1,238,710 (+880) people
tanks – 11,619 (+5) units.
armored combat vehicles – 23,969 (+4) units.
artillery systems – 36,768 (+20) units.
MLRS – 1,632 (+1) units.
Air defense assets – 1,290 (+1) units.
aircraft – 435 (+0) units.
helicopters – 347 (+0) units.
Operational-tactical level UAVs – 119,928 (+694) units.
cruise missiles – 4,205 (+0) units.
ships / boats – 28 (+0) units.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
automotive equipment and tank trucks – 76,377 (+58) units.
special equipment – 4,054 (+1) units.
Operational information as of 8:00 on January 31, 2026 regarding the Russian invasion – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The Osa anti-aircraft missile system and a number of logistical facilities of the Russian occupiers were hit.
Zelensky: The week without strikes on the energy sector began on Friday night, Ukraine is ready to act in a mirror image.
Intermediate finish: 120 thousand Russian heavy UAVs destroyed
Russia’s losses in the war as of February 1, 2026:
personnel – about 1,240,680 (+1,090) people
tanks – 11,625 (+6) units.
armored combat vehicles – 23,980 (+3) units.
artillery systems – 36,777 (+9) units.
MLRS – 1,632 (+0) units.
Air defense equipment – 1,290 (+0) units.
aircraft – 435 (+0) units.
helicopters – 347 (+0) units.
Operational-tactical level UAVs – 120 134 (+206) units
cruise missiles – 4,205 (+0) units.
ships / boats – 28 (+0) units.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
automotive equipment and tank trucks – 76,439 (+62) units.
special equipment – 4,055 (+1) units.
Operational information as of 8:00 AM on February 1, 2026 regarding the Russian invasion – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The Tor-M1 air defense system, UAV control points, and other enemy military facilities were hit – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Strengthening air defense, developing Patriot and HIMARS: Ukraine and NATO have agreed on cooperation priorities.
"Truce" like never exists
Russia’s losses in the war as of February 2, 2026:
personnel – about 1,241,530 (+850) people.
tanks – 11,627 (+2) units.
armored combat vehicles – 23,981 (+1) units.
artillery systems – 36,802 (+25) units.
MLRS – 1,633 (+1) units.
Air defense assets – 1,291 (+1) units.
aircraft – 435 (+0) units.
helicopters – 347 (+0) units.
Operational-tactical level UAVs – 121,217 (+1,083) units.
cruise missiles – 4,205 (+0) units.
ships/boats – 28 (+0) units.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
automotive equipment and tank trucks – 76,585 (+146) units.
special equipment – 4,057 (+2) units.
Operational information as of 8:00 AM on February 2, 2026 regarding the Russian invasion – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The repair base, UAV control points, and other enemy military facilities were hit – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
There is no "truce": Russia does not adhere to any agreements – European Union Ambassador to Ukraine Katarina Maternova.
A sign of an "energy truce" is massive attacks by Muscovites on energy facilities in Ukraine
Russia’s losses in the war as of February 3, 2026:
personnel – about 1,242,290 (+760) people.
tanks – 11,633 (+6) units.
armored combat vehicles – 23,985 (+4) units.
artillery systems – 36,855 (+53) units.
MLRS – 1,633 (+0) units.
Air defense assets – 1,292 (+1) units.
aircraft – 435 (+0) units.
helicopters – 347 (+0) units.
Operational-tactical level UAVs – 122,388 (+1,171) units.
cruise missiles – 4,205 (+0) units.
ships/boats – 28 (+0) units.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
automotive equipment and tank trucks – 76,738 (+153) units.
special equipment – 4,058 (+1) units.
Operational information as of 08:00 02/03/2026 regarding the Russian invasion – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Enemy control points and ammunition depots were hit – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Russia has resumed attacks on the energy sector, said Kovalenko, head of the Center for Countering Disinformation.
US President Justifies Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Cities
Russia’s losses in the war as of February 4, 2026:
personnel – about 1,243,070 (+780) people.
tanks – 11,637 (+4) units.
armored combat vehicles – 23,992 (+7) units.
artillery systems – 36,915 (+60) units.
MLRS – 1,634 (+1) units.
Air defense assets – 1,293 (+1) units.
aircraft – 435 (+0) units.
helicopters – 347 (+0) units.
Operational-tactical level UAVs – 123,743 (+1,355) units.
cruise missiles – 4,245 (+40) units.
ships/boats – 28 (+0) units.
submarines – 2 (+0) units.
automotive equipment and tank trucks – 76,949 (+211) units.
special equipment – 4,062 (+4) units.
Operational information as of 8:00 AM on February 4, 2026 regarding the Russian invasion – General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The FPV training center, the concentration of manpower, and the enemy’s electronic warfare station – the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine – were hit.
Trump said that Putin had adhered to the terms of the "truce" and denied Zelensky’s accusations.